Thursday, October 28, 2010

Short CAD futures 0.98


keeping stops tight... close > .986's

*EDIT* stopped with a small loss....

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Adding 1182


*edit* added again today in the upper 1180's. Full position at 1180 average price. Now that we are fully short, a close above 1190 will take me out.

Added more USD futures long today 77.36 - got the low tick!!

Looking to short the Euro into 1.36 but I can't get a good entry....

*EDIT* I'm out today 1180. +2
No Positions at the moment....

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Short ES 1176 and long USD 77.36







These are starters as I think the goofs are still out and want to push. No need to get smashed.
May have to wait until just before the election...

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Short 1174 - Full fill

*edit* taking half out here at 1167. Rest moved down to evens plus a tick. Looking for 1130...

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Long USD



77.36
*edit* stopped through 77 flat last night... unreal. Probably jack higher now.

Monday, October 4, 2010

Covering 30%


At 1129 for +13.
*edit* stopped out at evens plus a tick on the rest... pretty silly.

Sunday, October 3, 2010

Short 1142


Short 1142 (Fri. aft.) with some size at $OEX 518. I think the R:R is good here.

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Sunday, September 26, 2010

Friday, September 24, 2010

Monday, September 20, 2010

VIX




Continuous into support...

-

1133 overnight resistance from the other day.


Added 1126


This takes me to a full position.
Stops are going to be tight as the profits from my last trade will take me out at evens.
J

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Took some 1112's off





.... pays for my stop and any pain that I may have to sit through.
:>)

Also, 2nd image shows the Aug. 10 gap is still in play. SPX opening and staying below 1106 will make things more interesting.


Sunday, September 12, 2010

Short 1112.5 and 1121.25

Added size - 1121.25.... low risk.
Average is around 1119.


Dec. contract

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Long NQ at 1766 and the ES at 1044




Possible H&S formations here... low risk.
*edit* took some profits in the +5 point range... but, needless to say, stopped at evens on the rest.

My thinking


Looks like we are trading in a range lately. It seems uncertainty does indeed have a range... and 1130 to 1040 looks to be it.

If we go back to July 7 - a day in which the buying was extremely aggressive and a day in which we broke the downtrend of the prior couple of weeks - 1036 is very strong intraday support. I also see 1052 as intraday support too. Just not as strong. Also, 1052 was a good support level for the weeks following - see highlights - and it was the 50% retracement from 1002 to the 1128 high. So, there are a couple of reasons that put the probability in your favour for a long there. I was confident for a long there but took half out on a 5 point breakdown.

Wednesday, August 11, 2010